סמינר במימון חשבונאות
Have credit ratings become more accurate?
Speaker: Zvika Afik , Ben Gurion University
Rating agencies play a central role in bond markets. However, the quality of credit ratings
is continuously debated. We suggest that the tightening of rating standards observed in prior
literature may be partially explained by rating accuracy improvement. We reconfirm that
corporate credit ratings have become more stringent over time. Firms with similar accounting
profile have a lower rating then they used to have previously. This paper sheds new light on
the evolving quality of credit ratings and their underlying trends. Our analysis shows that
ratings are now more correlated with market data than before and less correlated with
accounting data than before. Furthermore, we find evidence for improving credit rating
quality over time in terms of default prediction. We conclude that rating accuracy has
improved over time, and hence, some of prior studies’ critique on rating agencies seems
outdated.